Yield Curve
9 posts
September Has Been A Busy Month So Far
During the first two trading days of September, stock prices, oil prices, and bond yields fell sharply; the Department of…
Beige Book Paints Beige Economic Picture
The bond market liked today's Beige Book, the collection of regional surveys of economic activity conducted by each…
Bond Yield Climbs to 4.50% As Yield Curve Is Disinverting.
The Fed's hawkish pause, announced on Wednesday afternoon, has lifted the 10-year US Treasury yield to 4.50%…
Leading & Coincident Economic Indicators Are Contradictory
The Index of Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) peaked at a record high during December 2021. It dropped 0.7% m/…
Jamie's Hurricane
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon has been warning that a recession is coming. Today, ironically, the bank stocks took it…
Bonds Weigh On Stocks
The 10-year US Treasury bond yield rose from a recent low of 3.425% on December 7 to 3.849%…
Yield Curve Spread Signaling Rate Peak
The yield curve spread between the 2-year US Treasury note and the 10-year US Treasury bond is a leading indictor…
Is Something About To Break?
The 2-year/10-year Treasury yield curve has been inverted in recent weeks. The yield curve has a history of inverting…