Video Webcasts

The rolling recession continues to roll through the economy, but will the banking crisis cause it to turn into an…

Banks were tightening lending standards before the banking crisis, and the crisis has escalated that. We don’t think a…

JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon’s ambiguous warnings about the economy broadly and banks specifically, voiced intermittently since last summer, have…

The tug-of-war between the hard-landers and the soft-landers continues. The twists and turns of recent economic-outlook-impacting events have been taking…

The S&L crisis of 1990 caused a mild, short-lived recession impacting earnings but not triggering a bear market…

The recent banking crisis has heightened fears of a recession. But still the S&P 500 is up ytd—…

The spread between the 10-year Treasury bond yield and the federal funds rate inverted in November; such inversions are predictive…

Tightening monetary cycles often end abruptly when “something breaks” and a financial crisis is triggered. If the Silicon Valley Bank…

Productivity was poor last year—declining more than it has since 1974—and growth in unit labor costs was high.…

The stock market beat a hasty retreat in February, spooked by reports of January’s economic strength and the Fed’…

What’s next for the US economy? Of four potential outlooks, we see the greatest odds (40%) of a soft…

Perversely, the financial markets’ vote of confidence in the Fed’s ability to subdue inflation without getting the economy into…