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August's M-PMI: More Stag & Less Flation
August's M-PMI provides confirmation of our economic outlook including a growth recession and moderating inflationary pressures. On balance,…
US Economy
57 posts
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The Economic Week Ahead (Aug. 29-Sept. 2)
Time marches on! September is almost here. The week ahead is packed with employment data starting with July's…
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The Chairman's Speech: What Will Jerome Powell Say?
Have you heard? Fed Chair Jerome Powell will speak on Friday morning at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City’…
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Flash US Business Indicators Flashing Orange
S&P Global released its August flash indexes based on its surveys of US manufacturing and non-manufacturing purchasing managers.…
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The Economic Week Ahead (August 22-26)
The big event of the coming week will occur on Friday at 10:00 am EDT, when Fed Chair Jerome…
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NY & Philly Surveys: Weakening Business & Prices
We now have two of the five regional business surveys conducted during August by the Federal Reserve district banks of…
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Mixed Messages From Manufacturing & Housing
July was a good month for manufacturing and a bad one for the housing industry. Industrial production, which is one…
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Fed's NY Business Survey Takes A Dive In August
The charts below show that business activity plunged during August, according to the monthly survey of the Fed's…
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Plenty of Sunshine In Q3's GDPNow & July's CPI
There's lots of sunshine in the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow tracking model. Today's estimate shows…
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Hooray: Inflation Cooled Off In July!
July's headline and core CPI inflation rates were lower than expected at 0.0% and 0.3% (table…
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Mixed Inflation Indicators
Today we learned that July's survey of small business owners showed that inflation might have peaked. On the…
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Lots of Jobs, But Inflation Eroding Wage Gains
July's payroll employment in July blew past forecasts, and there were upward revisions to the prior two months,…
