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US Economy
59 posts
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Leading Indicator Still Misleading
January's Index of Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) was down again by 0.4% (chart). It has been falling…
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Bad Apple?
The MegaCap-8 stocks led the S&P 500 down during the first two days of trading in 2024 (chart)…
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Mortgage Rate Rockets Up To 8%
The 30-year fixed mortgage rate rocketed up to 8.00% today. It is up from 7.57% on October 12…
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Stock Market's Meltup Continues
Investors had a quick look at today's economic indicators and concluded that the economy is still growing albeit…
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Markets' Message to the Fed: Just Say No to More Rate Hikes
The stock market sent a message to the FOMC today: Cease and desist from any more rate hikes, please. The…
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Fed 's H.4.1 Shows Banking Crisis Not Getting Worse
The Fed's H.4.1 report is released every Thursday at 4:15 pm. It shows the Fed&…
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Recession Drumbeat Getting Louder
The S&P 500 has been holding up quite well as the the nattering nabobs of negativism beat their…
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More Shoes To Drop?
Needless to say, the recent turmoil in the banking sector is raising renewed fears of a recession and a resumption…
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Capital Spending Getting A Lift From Washington
Inflation-adjusted capital spending rose 4% y/y during Q4. That was a solid increase. However, it may be starting to…
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More Soft Landing Stats
No boom, no bust. That describes yesterday's flash estimates for February's M-PMI and NM-PMI released by…
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Less Inflation & Growth In Three Regional Surveys
We now have three business surveys for January conducted by the NY, Philly, and Richmond Fed district banks. Collectively, they…
