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Inflation Expectations Looking Peakish
July's survey of consumer expectations (SCE), conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of NY, had some good news…
Inflation
Is inflation transitory, or will it be persistent and even protracted? This is the key question many investors and business managers are struggling to answer. These QuickTakes aim to assess the answer based on the latest data on prices and wages.
243 posts
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The Economic Week Ahead, August 8-12
It's a big week for inflation indicators. The fun starts on Monday, when the FRB-NY releases its July…
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Lots of Jobs, But Inflation Eroding Wage Gains
July's payroll employment in July blew past forecasts, and there were upward revisions to the prior two months,…
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The Best Cure For High Gasoline Prices
The best cure for high gasoline prices is high gasoline prices. Gas prices have tumbled by 86 cents since hitting…
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ECB Stuck Between A Rock & A Hard Place
Soaring consumer prices and the prospect of energy rationing this coming winter have depressed consumer confidence in the Eurozone. No…
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Signs of Peak Inflation
Today was a good day for those of us expecting to see peak inflation soon. July's US manufacturing…
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Tomorrow's ECI Could Be Bad News
Q2's Employment Cost Index (ECI) comes out tomorrow morning. In his press conference yesterday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell…
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It's A Banana!
Real GDP fell 0.9% (saar) during Q2, following a 1.6% decline during Q1. That's a "…
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More Signs of A Mid-Cycle Slowdown
The latest batch of economic indicators are in line with our mild recession outlook (a.k.a., a mid-cycle slowdown)…
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Is the Stock Market Discounting Peak Inflation?
The S&P 500 rose yesterday by 2.76% to 3936.69. It is up 7.4% from its…
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NY Fed Survey Shows Easing Pricing Pressures
The NY Fed's July business survey showed significant declines in the prices-paid and prices-received diffusion indexes . Six-month-ahead expectations…
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Homebuilders' Sentiment Plummets
The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index, a survey designed to gauge market conditions, found builder…
