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CPI Tends To Overstate Inflation Relative To PCED
August's CPI unnerved the stock market because its core inflation rate was higher than expected. August's…
Inflation
Is inflation transitory, or will it be persistent and even protracted? This is the key question many investors and business managers are struggling to answer. These QuickTakes aim to assess the answer based on the latest data on prices and wages.
243 posts
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Inflation Shocks The Markets
August's CPI report shocked the financial markets. It was widely expected to confirm that inflation peaked around June…
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Inflation Expectations Falling Fast Along With Pump Price
We believe that it is the pump price of gasoline prominently posted daily at every service station in America that…
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Divine Disinflation In NM-PMI Survey
Investors are rooting for "divine disinflation." We all want inflation to come down without a painful recession. We…
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Peak Freight Rates As US Keeps On Trucking?
US freight rates increased 28% y/y during July, but declined almost 2% m/m. That's according to…
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Fed Wants To See Fewer Help Wanted Signs
The S&P 500 fell just below its 50-day moving average today partly because the labor market remains hot.…
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August's CPI Likely to Confirm Inflation Peaking
August's CPI report will be released on September 13. It is likely to show that inflation is continuing…
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Powell's Fugetaboutit Speech
Fed Chair Jerome Powell did pivot on Friday morning at Jackson Hole in his 8-minute speech on the outlook for…
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NY & Philly Surveys: Weakening Business & Prices
We now have two of the five regional business surveys conducted during August by the Federal Reserve district banks of…
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Watching The Pump Price
Everyone who drives a car or rides in one knows the price of gasoline on a daily basis. The sharp…
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Hooray: Inflation Cooled Off In July!
July's headline and core CPI inflation rates were lower than expected at 0.0% and 0.3% (table…
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Mixed Inflation Indicators
Today we learned that July's survey of small business owners showed that inflation might have peaked. On the…
