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Sweet & Sour
Today's release of November's Consumer Confidence Index showed that the labor market remains relatively tight. The…
Inflation
Is inflation transitory, or will it be persistent and even protracted? This is the key question many investors and business managers are struggling to answer. These QuickTakes aim to assess the answer based on the latest data on prices and wages.
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Ups & Downs Of Inflation
We certainly aren’t out of the inflation woods yet, but we do seem to be heading in the right…
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Small Business Owners Have Some Bad News
The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) released its October survey of small business owners today. They remain pessimistic about…
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Third Year of Presidential Cycle Is Bullish
We previously observed that the stock market has a strong tendency to perform well following midterm elections irrespective of the…
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Economic Week Ahead, November 7-11
You can access a “live” version of the calendar below--with links to our automatically updated charts for most of the…
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PMI Prices-Paid Indexes Predicting Falling Inflation
Rapidly rising inflation since early last year has forced the Fed to raise interest rates significantly this year. That'…
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Powell Turns Even More Hawkish
During his press conference today, Fed Chair Jerome Powell continued to read from the Volcker 2.0 script. His punchline…
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What Will Powell Say?
Tomorrow afternoon, the FOMC is widely expected to increase the federal funds rate by 75bps to a range of 3.…
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Regional Surveys Suggest Weak M-PMI
Bonds and stocks might rally tomorrow if the M-PMI is as weak as suggested by the regional business surveys conducted…
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MegaCaps, ECB & ECI
History shows that the Santa Claus rally usually starts during October. This year, the S&P 500 had a…
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The Economic Week Ahead, October 24-28
The Q3 earnings reporting season will get most of the attention this week from equity investors. Fortunately, we all get…
