paid Political Cycles • 1 min read Third Year of Presidential Cycle Is Bullish We previously observed that the stock market has a strong tendency to perform well following midterm elections irrespective of the…
paid Economic Calendar • 1 min read Economic Week Ahead, November 7-11 You can access a “live” version of the calendar below--with links to our automatically updated charts for most of the…
public Inflation • 1 min read PMI Prices-Paid Indexes Predicting Falling Inflation Rapidly rising inflation since early last year has forced the Fed to raise interest rates significantly this year. That'…
public Fed • 2 min read Powell Turns Even More Hawkish During his press conference today, Fed Chair Jerome Powell continued to read from the Volcker 2.0 script. His punchline…
paid Fed • 2 min read What Will Powell Say? Tomorrow afternoon, the FOMC is widely expected to increase the federal funds rate by 75bps to a range of 3.…
public Surveys • 1 min read Regional Surveys Suggest Weak M-PMI Bonds and stocks might rally tomorrow if the M-PMI is as weak as suggested by the regional business surveys conducted…
public Inflation • 1 min read MegaCaps, ECB & ECI History shows that the Santa Claus rally usually starts during October. This year, the S&P 500 had a…
paid Economic Calendar • 1 min read The Economic Week Ahead, October 24-28 The Q3 earnings reporting season will get most of the attention this week from equity investors. Fortunately, we all get…
public Inflation • 2 min read Rolling Inflation & Remarkable Reversal Day Today's reversal in stock and bond prices from down big to up big, following the release of September&…
paid Inflation • 2 min read Labor Shortages Depressing Small Business Owners Today, the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) released its September survey of small business owners. They are about as…
paid Global Economy • 1 min read Supply Chain Problems Are Abating Supply-chain bottlenecks are easing. The parts you’ve been waiting for should arrive shortly. The Federal Reserve Bank of New…
public Economic Calendar • 1 min read The Economic Week Ahead, October 10-14 Monday is Columbus Day and the bond market will be closed. But stock investors can start the week worrying about…