paid Week Ahead • 2 min read The Economic Week Ahead: June 26-30 May's personal income will be released on Friday. It is likely to be the week's most…
paid Inflation • 2 min read Core Inflation: The True Story A few of our QT members asked us to explain why core CPI inflation, which has been so sticky over…
paid Fed • 2 min read A Hawkish Skip at the Fed In this past Sunday's QT, we wrote: "On Wednesday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell will update us on…
public Inflation • 2 min read Inflation Shock Continues to Abate The pandemic was a shock. It caused lots of aftershocks including an inflation problem which was widely expected to be…
paid Stock Market • 2 min read The Bull Was Pleasantly Surprised by May's CPI Today Stock prices rallied from the open today on May's CPI report. It wasn't surprisingly good. But…
paid Week Ahead • 2 min read The Economic Week Ahead: June 12-16 This will be a head spinning week. It could also be another rollercoaster ride in the financial markets. Maybe we…
paid China • 2 min read China's Post-Lockdown Recovery & Stimulus Disappoint The Chinese government started to lift its pandemic lockdown restrictions in early December last year. The economic rebound has been…
paid Employment • 2 min read S&P 500: Smooth Sailing to Another 2023 High Hooray! The US government won't default on its debts. There are plenty of jobs. Unit-labor-cost inflation is moderating.…
paid GDP • 2 min read The Economy Is Still Gliding Along Apparently, the debt ceiling issue has been resolved over the weekend, as we expected. The stock market might rally on…
paid Week Ahead • 2 min read The Economic Week Ahead: May 22-26 On Friday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said that monetary policy is "restrictive." So Fed policy will be data-dependent,…
paid Inflation • 2 min read The Economic Week Ahead: May 8-12 Another interesting week ahead. On Monday, the Fed will release the latest Senior Loan Officers Opinion Survey (SLOOS). It is…
paid Inflation • 1 min read Consumer Staples Prices Inflating The good news is that the headline PCED inflation rate fell sharply to 4.2% y/y during March (chart)…