public Productivity • 1 min read Upside Productivity Surprise Subdues Inflation, Maybe Wow! This morning's Q2 Productivity and Costs report was surprisingly good, but a bit hard to believe. Nonfarm…
public GDP • 2 min read The Bull Deserves A Rest The bull market's winning streak ended today. The Dow closed higher for 13 straight sessions through Wednesday, its…
paid Inflation • 2 min read US Disinflation Is Made In China It's not quite the great fall of China. However, something is definitely wrong with China's economy.…
paid Inflation • 1 min read Sunny Day Today was a sunny day for stocks and bonds following a few stormy days. That's even though two…
public Week Ahead • 2 min read The Economic Week Ahead: July 10-14 This week is jampacked with June's inflation indicators. On balance, they should show that inflation continues to moderate.…
public Europe • 2 min read Eurozone Is In a Recession Greetings from Dubrovnik! My wife and I started our vacation in Croatia last Thursday. We will be back in the…
paid Week Ahead • 2 min read The Economic Week Ahead: June 26-30 May's personal income will be released on Friday. It is likely to be the week's most…
paid Inflation • 2 min read Core Inflation: The True Story A few of our QT members asked us to explain why core CPI inflation, which has been so sticky over…
paid Fed • 2 min read A Hawkish Skip at the Fed In this past Sunday's QT, we wrote: "On Wednesday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell will update us on…
public Inflation • 2 min read Inflation Shock Continues to Abate The pandemic was a shock. It caused lots of aftershocks including an inflation problem which was widely expected to be…
paid Stock Market • 2 min read The Bull Was Pleasantly Surprised by May's CPI Today Stock prices rallied from the open today on May's CPI report. It wasn't surprisingly good. But…