public Tariffs • 3 min read Bond Vigilantes Remain Unhappy It was not a happy day in the bond market. Neither was it a happy day in the stock market:…
paid Week Ahead • 3 min read ECONOMIC WEEK: APRIL 7-11 While Trump's tariffs will likely dominate the headlines, the economic week ahead will also focus on the inflationary…
public Trump 2.0 • 11 min read Trump’s Reign Of Tariffs: Stagflation Odds Up, S&P 500 Target Down YRI Bulletin Board. Our colleague Eric Wallerstein is taking a leave of absence. He has accepted a position on the…
paid Week Ahead • 3 min read ECONOMIC WEEK: March 24-28 The predominant theme of the economic week ahead will be inflation, both realized and expected. Consumer inflation expectations will be…
paid FOMC • 3 min read Certainly Uncertain Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell used the word "uncertainty" 16 times in his press conference today. We sympathize.…
paid Inflation • 2 min read Why Cooler Inflation Isn't Lifting Markets February's inflation data provided conflicting stories. Both the CPI and PPI came in cooler than expected, but neither…
public Stock Market • 3 min read The Trump Put Is Kaput! Vertigo is a sensation of spinning or whirling such that the person or their surroundings appear to be moving. The…
paid Week Ahead • 3 min read ECONOMIC WEEK: March 10-14 After several weeks of a growth scare, the attention this week will shift back to inflation. The new scare could…
public Week Ahead • 3 min read ECONOMIC WEEK: March 3–7 February's batch of economic indicators for January was mostly downbeat, the sort of numbers suggestive of a severe…
paid FOMC • 3 min read Mind the Minutes The Minutes from January's FOMC meeting was released today. On balance, it confirmed that the Fed is on…
paid Week Ahead • 4 min read ECONOMIC WEEK: February 10-14 The focus of the economic week ahead will be inflation. Businesses tend to raise prices at the beginning of the…
public FOMC • 3 min read Powell Presses The Pause Button The FOMC left the federal funds rate (FFR) unchanged yesterday at 4.25%-4.50%, as widely expected. At his…