paid US Treasury • 3 min read In Bessent We Trust The Bond Vigilantes like Scott Bessent, who was nominated to be US Treasury Secretary by Donald Trump yesterday. Their vote…
public Fiscal Policy • 3 min read Modern Monetary Magic At Work Republican Everett Dirksen was the Senate Minority Leader during the 1960s. Cautioning that federal spending had a way of getting…
public Bond Vigilantes • 3 min read Bond Vigilantes Started Voting Early The US presidential and congressional elections aren't until November 5, but the Bond Vigilantes are voting early. The…
public Fiscal Policy • 2 min read The Blob Keeps Growing. So Why Aren't Bond Yields Soaring? The federal deficit narrowed a bit to $1.63 trillion over the 12 months through April (chart). However, over the…
public Week Ahead • 2 min read The Economic Week Ahead: May 6 - 10 It's slim pickings this week on the US economic front. The news is mostly about credit conditions. Then…
public Fiscal Policy • 2 min read The Blob The US federal deficit reminds us of the 1958 science fiction horror classic, "The Blob." It stars none-other…
public Week Ahead • 2 min read The Economic Week Ahead: April 8 - 12 This week will feature some key inflation numbers. The March headline CPI (Wed) and PPI (Mar) will get a boost…
paid Bond Market • 2 min read Fairy Godmother Of The Bond Market When Janet Yellen was Fed chair from 2014 to 2018, we often referred to her as the “Fairy Godmother of…
paid S&P 500 Earnings • 2 min read S&P 500 Earnings At Record High Yippee! S&P 500 operating earnings per share rose to a record high in Q3, for the first time…
paid Fiscal Policy • 3 min read Stock Prices Are Jumping Again After the stock market closed on Friday, Moody’s reduced the US government's credit rating from “stable” to…
paid Week Ahead • 2 min read The Economic Week Ahead: October 9-13 This is a big week for two big issues troubling the bond market, namely inflation and the US federal budget…
paid Fiscal Policy • 2 min read Uncle Sam Downgrade Raises Caution Flag In yesterday's QT, we noted that the 10-year Treasury bond yield was back just over 4.00% and…