public Fed • 3 min read MARKET CALL: Powell's Latest Pirouette Fed Chair Jerome Powell is an accomplished danseur. His pirouette's are masterful. He did another such pivot on…
paid Inflation • 3 min read Sticky Landing For Inflation? Today's CPI report suggests that inflation may be getting stuck north of the Fed's 2.0%…
public Fed • 3 min read Powell's Mixed Message Remains Dovish The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) cut the federal funds rate (FFR) by 25bps today as widely expected. We expected…
paid CPI • 3 min read Powell Is Too Dovish The monetary policy hawks may be coming home to roost at the Fed's November 6-7 meeting. September'…
public Fed • 2 min read Market Call: Back To Higher For Longer? Remember the "higher for longer" mantra about the outlook for the federal funds rate (FFR) during the spring?…
paid Employment • 3 min read Big Employment Increase Puts Recession Story to Bed This morning's payroll employment report for September and upward revisions for July and August were much stronger than…
public Fed • 3 min read Powell Declares Mission Accomplished The Fed cut the federal funds rate (FFR) by 50bps today. This marks the end of the Fed’s monetary…
paid Week Ahead • 3 min read The Economic Week Ahead: September 16-20 The main event this week is the FOMC meeting (Wed). The Fed is widely expected to cut the federal funds…
public CPI • 3 min read CPI Triggered Stock Market Hissy Fit This morning's CPI report showed inflation continues to moderate. Nevertheless, stock prices initially fell sharply on the news.…
paid Stock Market • 3 min read Market Call: Did Powell Just Pour Gasoline On Stock Market's Fire? Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole on Friday was unambiguously dovish, as we observed in that…
paid Fed • 3 min read Powell Confirms Fed's Pivot To Rate Cuts. Doesn't Push Back Against Market Expectations. Fed Chair Jerome Powell was dovish in his Jackson Hole speech today. He didn't hedge. He didn'…