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Recession: To Be Or Not To Be?
The latest batch of leading economic indicators suggests that several coincident economic indicators might soon begin to fall. So we…
Economy
The US economy tends to grow over time with occasional downturns. These QuickTakes examine the latest economic indicators to assess whether the economy is likely to remain on its upward course, or might stumble into a recession.
55 posts
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Is the Labor Shortage Depressing the Economy?
Might this be the first economic downturn attributable to a labor shortage? That shortage is weighing on output. It is…
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US Remains Energy Independent
In America we just celebrated our Independence Day. We should also celebrate that we've been energy independent since…
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The Economic Week Ahead 7/5/22
Last week’s economic calendar was chock full of recessionary indicators. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow is tracking Q2’s…
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Mixed Readings in June’s M-PMI Report
June’s national M-PMI was reported this morning, and it wasn’t as weak as suggested by the regional business…
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It's (Unofficially) a Recession!
The economy continues to teeter on the edge of a recession. The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow tracking model shows…
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Supply-Chain Disruptions Easing. More Supply or Less Demand?
June's surveys of five of the 12 district Federal Reserve Banks strongly suggest that supply-chain disruptions have eased…
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June's Regional Business Surveys Were Recessionary
It's hard to come up with anything positive to say about June's batch of regional business…
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Regional Business Surveys Bearish for New Orders
The economy is teetering. After the release of durable goods orders this morning, the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow tracking model…
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DEEP DIVE: How's Business?
This is an excerpt from our Morning Briefing.
Every month, the Census Bureau releases its “Advance Monthly Sales for Retail…
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The Economic Week Ahead 6/27/22
The week ahead is jam packed with June regional and national economic surveys. They are likely to confirm that we…
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The Economic Week Ahead 6/21/22
The week ahead is a short one for the financial markets, and it is a light one for US economic…
