paid Surveys • 1 min read Labor Market Tight. Goods Market Not So. The Fed would like to see fewer job openings to help moderate wage inflation. The time series is reported in…
paid Inflation • 2 min read Loose Fed Lips Sink Stocks & Bonds Stock and bond prices fell today as two none-voting FOMC participants (Bullard & Mester) suggested that higher-for-longer interest rates will…
paid Economy • 2 min read Is The Service-Providing Economy Cooling Off? Consumers have cut back on spending on goods because they went on a goods-buying binge on them during 2020 and…
public Surveys • 1 min read Regional Surveys Suggest Weak M-PMI Bonds and stocks might rally tomorrow if the M-PMI is as weak as suggested by the regional business surveys conducted…
public Economic Calendar • 1 min read The Economic Week Ahead: Sept. 19-23 It's a light week for economic releases in the US. The focus will be on the Fed. Wednesday…
public Consumer • 1 min read Consumers Have Nothing To Fear But The Future Consumers are looking into their crystal balls and they don't like what they see. Even though the present…
paid Economy • 1 min read More Signs of A Mid-Cycle Slowdown The latest batch of economic indicators are in line with our mild recession outlook (a.k.a., a mid-cycle slowdown)…
public Inflation • 1 min read NY Fed Survey Shows Easing Pricing Pressures The NY Fed's July business survey showed significant declines in the prices-paid and prices-received diffusion indexes . Six-month-ahead expectations…
public Week Ahead • 1 min read The Economic Week Ahead 7/18/22 The week ahead is a light one for economic indicators. Monday starts out with May's Treasury International Capital…
paid Economy • 2 min read A Growth Recession? Following today's retail sales and industrial production reports, the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow tracking model revised real…
public Economy • 1 min read Jamie's Hurricane The stock market is down this morning on worse-than-expected PPI inflation news, heightening fears of more aggressive Fed tightening and…
public Inflation • 1 min read The Rent Is Too D@mn High! The Fed's ultra-easy monetary policies, in response to the pandemic, caused home prices to soar, and now rents…