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The Economic Week Ahead, July 25-29, 2022
The week ahead is jam-packed with economic data that are likely to show weakening economic activity and some signs of…
Economic Survey
46 posts
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More Signs of A Mid-Cycle Slowdown
The latest batch of economic indicators are in line with our mild recession outlook (a.k.a., a mid-cycle slowdown)…
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Mixed Readings in June’s M-PMI Report
June’s national M-PMI was reported this morning, and it wasn’t as weak as suggested by the regional business…
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Supply-Chain Disruptions Easing. More Supply or Less Demand?
June's surveys of five of the 12 district Federal Reserve Banks strongly suggest that supply-chain disruptions have eased…
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June's Regional Business Surveys Were Recessionary
It's hard to come up with anything positive to say about June's batch of regional business…
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Regional Business Surveys Bearish for New Orders
The economy is teetering. After the release of durable goods orders this morning, the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow tracking model…
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Two Regional Business Surveys Showing More Stagflation In June
Two regional business surveys, conducted by five of the 12 Federal Reserve Banks, are now available for the New York…
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Mixed Indicators Showing Slowing Economic Growth
We are seeing some very odd divergencies between the averages of the regional business surveys conducted by five Federal Reserve…
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Regional Business Surveys: More of the Same
April's national survey of manufacturing purchasing managers will be out on Monday. We expect that the M-PMI composite index is likely to remain around its March reading of 57.1…
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Are oil companies price gouging us?
Senator Elizabeth Warren thinks so. Earlier this month, she tweeted that she gets "supply and demand." She also…
