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Small Business Owners Say Job Market Cooling
December's NFIB survey of small business owners should make the Fed's hawks a bit less hawkish.…
Economic Survey
46 posts
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The Economic Week Ahead Jan. 9-13
The Q4-2022 earnings reporting season starts this week with the big money center banks. They are unlikely to surprise investors.…
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Regional Puzzle Pieces Showing Slowing Economy & Inflation
Almost everyone working on Wall Street is on vacation, except for the bears. They've been munching on stock…
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CPI Inflation Peaked During June & Continues to Moderate
Stock prices soared this morning on November's better-than-expected inflation news, but gave back much of the gain as…
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Sweet & Sour
Today's release of November's Consumer Confidence Index showed that the labor market remains relatively tight. The…
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Most Widely Anticipated Recession Ever
Our contrarian instincts give us more confidence in our “growth recession,” or “mid-cycle slowdown,” scenario. A recession next year would…
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Ups & Downs Of Inflation
We certainly aren’t out of the inflation woods yet, but we do seem to be heading in the right…
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Small Business Owners Have Some Bad News
The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) released its October survey of small business owners today. They remain pessimistic about…
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PMI Prices-Paid Indexes Predicting Falling Inflation
Rapidly rising inflation since early last year has forced the Fed to raise interest rates significantly this year. That'…
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S&P 500: Why Today's Sizzle?
The S&P 500 sizzled last week on Thursday. It fizzled on Friday. Why is it sizzling again today?…
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Labor Shortages Depressing Small Business Owners
Today, the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) released its September survey of small business owners. They are about as…
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Inflation Expectations Falling Fast Along With Pump Price
We believe that it is the pump price of gasoline prominently posted daily at every service station in America that…
