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Bouts of geopolitical or domestic political strife usually don’t derail the US stock market. Investors tend to divorce politics…

Many of this decade’s economic and financial market trends bear a striking resemblance to those of the 1990s. That…

Today, we analyze the analysts, noting that they tend be influenced by stock market meltups—thus fueling the meltups—and…

High inflation rarely has been tamed without precipitating a recession. Few economic prognosticators thought it could be done. Yet the…

The pandemic distorted the economy in many ways, including derailing the productivity boom that we’d been expecting would characterize…

It doesn’t take a recession to bring down inflation to the Fed’s target! “Immaculate disinflation,” widely dismissed as…

Now that investors’ recession fears have abated, they’re focusing on company fundamentals again, so good corporate news is having…

The runaway inflation of the 1970s was whipped only after Paul Volcker took over as Fed chief, doing the deed…

The point between Fed tightening and easing is a good time to reconsider the widely accepted long-and-variable-lags theory of monetary…

How likely is the stock market to have a down year in 2024? Since down years tend to be associated…

The bears who still expect a recession base their arguments on historical precedents: At times in the past when economic…

The economy has proven resilient, defying all the reasons it shouldn’t be, to which diehard hard landers still cling.…