público Recession • 2 min read What Are We Rooting For? On Tuesday, the stock market sold off on fears of a hard landing. On Wednesday, the market rallied on better-than-expected…
pagado Consumer Sentiment • 1 min read Is Santa Making A Comeback? Stock prices rebounded solidly from yesterday's selloff. Better-than-expected news from Nike and FedEx helped reduce fears of a…
público Recession • 2 min read Fireworks Before Christmas? Santa is on his back foot. Fed Chair Powell's presser was hawkish last Wednesday. Thursday's batch…
pagado S&P 500 • 1 min read Looking Forward to 2024! There's certainly lots of pessimism about 2023. That's the bad news. We certainly aren't…
público Economic Calendar • 2 min read The Economic Week Ahead: Dec. 19 - Dec. 24 Last Tuesday's good CPI news wasn't good enough according to Fed Chair Jerome Powell. In his…
pagado Recession • 2 min read Retail Sales Clobber Stock Prices Yesterday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell was more hawkish than expected. He reiterated that the Fed needs to be more restrictive…
pagado Economic Calendar • 1 min read The Economic Week Ahead: Dec. 12-16 All we want for Christmas is a lower-than-expected November CPI (Tue.) and a less hawkish press conference (Wed.) by Fed…
pagado Consumer • 1 min read Fork In The Road It was another day of recession jitters in the stock market as the CEOs of Bank of America and Wells…
público Recession • 2 min read Yearend Jitters The stock market has the jitters as investors worry that the economy may be too strong and too weak at…
público Recession • 2 min read Soft Landing The bears disparaged yesterday's stock market rally claiming that Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech at the…
público Recession • 2 min read Most Widely Anticipated Recession Ever Our contrarian instincts give us more confidence in our “growth recession,” or “mid-cycle slowdown,” scenario. A recession next year would…
público Recession • 2 min read Yield Curve Spread Signaling Rate Peak The yield curve spread between the 2-year US Treasury note and the 10-year US Treasury bond is a leading indictor…