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US Production and LEI Signaling Softish Landing
There was a tiny hint of a manufacturing recession in May's industrial production index, which was reported today.…
Economy
The US economy tends to grow over time with occasional downturns. These QuickTakes examine the latest economic indicators to assess whether the economy is likely to remain on its upward course, or might stumble into a recession.
55 posts
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Two Regional Business Surveys Showing More Stagflation In June
Two regional business surveys, conducted by five of the 12 Federal Reserve Banks, are now available for the New York…
público
May's Retail Sales Depressed Q2's Real GDP
May's retail sales was weak in current dollars (-0.3% m/m) and even weaker in real dollars…
público
Small Business Owners Depressed But Still Hiring
Inflation is depressing, and it is depressing everyone—including consumers, business people, and investors in stocks and bonds. For example,…
público
Uncle Sam Isn’t Santa Claus
Following Friday’s CPI shocker, the financial media seem to have concluded that the Fed will have no choice but…
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The Economic Week Ahead 6/13/22
A whole bunch of economic indicators to be released this coming week are likely to confirm that the economy is…
público
Protracted Inflation
Inflation is no longer transitory or persistent. It is protracted. The headline and core CPI inflation rates have yet to…
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Mortgage Applications Falling, Consumer Credit Balances Rising
The housing market may be falling into a recession, but consumers continue to spend—though they have needed to borrow…
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Leading Indicators Up, GDP Revision Down
We have a mix of good and bad news this morning for you. We will start with the good news:…
público
The Economic Week Ahead 6/6/2022
On June 1, JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said that “fiscal stimulation is still in the pocketbooks of consumers. They…
público
Mixed Indicators Showing Slowing Economic Growth
We are seeing some very odd divergencies between the averages of the regional business surveys conducted by five Federal Reserve…
público
Beware of Wildlife
On our first day at Yellowstone National Park yesterday, my wife Valerie and I spotted lots of bison, but no…
