pagado Week Ahead • 2 min read The Economic Week Ahead, July 25-29, 2022 The week ahead is jam-packed with economic data that are likely to show weakening economic activity and some signs of…
pagado Economy • 1 min read More Signs of A Mid-Cycle Slowdown The latest batch of economic indicators are in line with our mild recession outlook (a.k.a., a mid-cycle slowdown)…
público Economy • 2 min read Mixed Readings in June’s M-PMI Report June’s national M-PMI was reported this morning, and it wasn’t as weak as suggested by the regional business…
público Economy • 1 min read Supply-Chain Disruptions Easing. More Supply or Less Demand? June's surveys of five of the 12 district Federal Reserve Banks strongly suggest that supply-chain disruptions have eased…
pagado Economy • 2 min read June's Regional Business Surveys Were Recessionary It's hard to come up with anything positive to say about June's batch of regional business…
público Economy • 1 min read Regional Business Surveys Bearish for New Orders The economy is teetering. After the release of durable goods orders this morning, the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow tracking model…
pagado Economy • 2 min read Two Regional Business Surveys Showing More Stagflation In June Two regional business surveys, conducted by five of the 12 Federal Reserve Banks, are now available for the New York…
público GDPNow • 2 min read Mixed Indicators Showing Slowing Economic Growth We are seeing some very odd divergencies between the averages of the regional business surveys conducted by five Federal Reserve…
público Economic Survey • 1 min read Regional Business Surveys: More of the Same April's national survey of manufacturing purchasing managers will be out on Monday. We expect that the M-PMI composite index is likely to remain around its March reading of 57.1…
pagado Economic Survey • 1 min read Are oil companies price gouging us? Senator Elizabeth Warren thinks so. Earlier this month, she tweeted that she gets "supply and demand." She also…