The 2-year/10-year Treasury yield curve has been inverted in recent weeks. The yield curve has a history of inverting during Fed monetary tightening cycles when investors start to believe that the rise in interest rates may be about to cause a financial crisis, which quickly turns into a widespread credit crunch and a recession. Is something about to break now? Not according to the VIX and high-yield corporate bond credit spread (charts below). Then again, consider the following:
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