Anatomy Of Full Employment
When others saw labor market weakening last summer, we saw normalization from the settling down of pandemic-period churn. Our labor market outlook remains constructive. The growth of the labor force should continue to slow, but demand for workers will remain strong, keeping the labor market needle at full employment. Strong productivity gains from widespread AI adoption and a full-employment labor market should spur robust real wage growth. Strong wage growth should keep consumer spending growth and GDP growth strong. All this should keep our Roaring 2020s economic scenario on track. Indeed, January’s labor market data confirm every aspect of our outlook.
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