The January Barometer and January Effect have been interesting statistical regularities that may not have much investment usefulness. It’s better to stay in the stock market whatever the month brings than to try and execute exits and entrances based on the calendar. Over time, the market has a bullish bias, which is why we do too. … Today, Dr Ed lists what could go right for the stock market this year—including better-than-expected earnings, technological advances, and a strong economy buoyed by consumer spending—and what could go wrong. On that list, inspired by the worries of more bearish prognosticators, are the known unknown economic effects of Trump 2.0 policies and how the bond market may respond to them.
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