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Confidence Survey Shows Jobs Are Still Relatively Plentiful
The first available monthly indicator of the labor market is the "jobs plentiful" series in the Consumer Confidence…
Eric Wallerstein
Eric joined YRI in 2024 after reporting on bonds at The Wall Street Journal and working as an analyst at the NY Fed. He studied economics, finance, and politics at Bucknell University.
211 posts
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The Economic Week Ahead: June 24-28
The key indicator everyone's watching this week is May's PCED (Fri). We expect the Fed'…
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DEEP DIVE: Winning Streaks Usually Don't Last Forever
TAMED I: Technical Analysis Of Macro Economic Data.
Over the past two years, the hard landers had innumerable theories and…
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Multi-Family Housing Glut?
Today's batch of economic indicators was on the weak side. Indeed, the Citigroup Economic Surprise Index fell deeper…
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Dr Ed's Video Webcast 6/19/24
The rates of unemployment and inflation aren’t always inversely correlated, as the Phillips Curve model posits. Historically, they have…
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Consumers Consuming, Producers Producing & Treasury Borrowing
May's retail sales, including food services, rose just 0.1% m/m, weaker than expected (chart). That'…
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Recession With Chinese Characteristics
China’s May economic indicators were broadly negative, as evidenced by the recent weakness in Chinese stock prices as well…
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Market Call: Momentum Meltup, Blowoff Top, Or Both?
Consumer price disinflation is raising expectations for a Fed rate cut, which is fueling a meltup in stock prices. This…
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The Economic Week Ahead: June 17-21
The economic week ahead will include lots of economic indicators, which on balance should show that the pace of economic…
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DEEP DIVE: Inflation - Why the Long Face?
Among the hottest topics at dinner tables and at corporate boardrooms tables across the country—not to mention election campaign…
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Low Inflation Readings Stampede the Bulls
On Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) warned markets to expect no more than one interest rate cut over…
