public Fiscal Policy • 2 min read The Blob Keeps Growing. So Why Aren't Bond Yields Soaring? The federal deficit narrowed a bit to $1.63 trillion over the 12 months through April (chart). However, over the…
paid Earnings Season • 2 min read Market Call: Sharp U-Turn The S&P 500 bottomed most recently on April 19 at 4967.23, rising to 5222.68 on Friday.…
public CPI • 3 min read The Week Ahead: May 13 - 17 The week ahead is jampacked with economic indicator releases. The big ones are for inflation, retail sales, and production. They…
paid Deep Dive • 4 min read DEEP DIVE: The Causes of Recessions & Bear Markets, a Recap There are three ways that recessions typically are triggered: 1) a monetary-tightening-induced financial crisis turns into a credit crunch; 2)…
public Employment • 2 min read The Recession Claim One of our competitors claims that we are in a recession. Another claims that we will soon be in a…
paid Global Stocks • 3 min read Tight Fed Fueling Foreign Stock Market Rallies? In the past, the major foreign central banks often followed the Fed's lead. This time, they aren'…
paid Video Webcasts • 1 min read Dr Ed's Video Webcast 5/8/24 Investors in both stock and bond markets are suddenly blooming with optimism. Both markets rallied on Friday’s (mostly) positive…
paid Deep Dive • 5 min read DEEP DIVE: AI Chips & The Others A handful of semiconductors companies reported earnings and made it clear that the rabid demand for chips used to run…
public Inflation • 2 min read Monster Trucks With Monster Bills Since just before the pandemic during January 2020 through March of this year, the CPI indexes for new autos, auto…
paid Purchasing Managers • 2 min read US Purchasing Managers Report Weakening Economy Among last week’s batch of weaker-than-expected economic indicators were April’s M-PMI and NM-PMI compiled by the Institute for…
paid Market Call • 2 min read Market Call: Nothing To Fear But Nothing To Fear, Again. Nothing to worry about? The geopolitical risk premium in the price of oil has dropped sharply since early April. The…
public Week Ahead • 2 min read The Economic Week Ahead: May 6 - 10 It's slim pickings this week on the US economic front. The news is mostly about credit conditions. Then…