paid Deep Dive • 5 min read DEEP DIVE: S&P 500 Earnings In The Roaring 2020s Strategy I: Roaring Ahead In Sunday’s QuickTakes, Eric, Joe, and I raised our outlook for S&P 500…
paid Dollar • 3 min read Trump 2.0 Supercharges Our Stay Home Investment Strategy We've been bullish on the dollar for a while. Since, the Fed's September 18 meeting, the…
paid Inflation • 3 min read Sticky Landing For Inflation? Today's CPI report suggests that inflation may be getting stuck north of the Fed's 2.0%…
paid Video Webcasts • 1 min read Dr Ed's Video Webcast 11/13/24 Something’s amiss with Fed Chair Powell’s explanation for lowering the federal fund rate a second time in two…
paid Surveys • 3 min read From Election Uncertainty To Policy Uncertainty The NFIB survey of small business owners was released today showing a record high in their uncertainty index during October…
paid China • 3 min read China: A Deflating Dragon Over the past three years, most American economists believed that a recession would be necessary to bring inflation down to…
paid S&P 500 • 3 min read Market Call: Animal Spirits Are Back & Boosting the Roaring 2020s! Fueling A Meltup Too? Just after Donald Trump won the presidential race on November 8, 2016, we observed that the economy and stock market…
paid Week Ahead • 3 min read The Economic Week Ahead: November 11-15 The week ahead will provide updates on inflation, consumer spending, and manufacturing. We expect inflation might have stalled in October,…
public Fed • 3 min read Powell's Mixed Message Remains Dovish The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) cut the federal funds rate (FFR) by 25bps today as widely expected. We expected…
paid Political Cycles • 4 min read Trump 2.0 and the Financial Markets Donald Trump's win and the Republican sweep of the House (probably) and the Senate (certainly) is consistent with…
paid Video Webcasts • 1 min read Dr Ed's Video Webcast 11/6/24 The bond market seems to be ignoring developments that usually halt rising yields in their track. Investors seem focused instead…
paid FOMC • 3 min read 25bps Cut? We Strongly Dissent! We may or may not know tonight who will be the next president, but we should know which party will…